Auspex
…
Back to screener
LaunchFDV @ T+24h
Alert
Share on XShare on Farcaster

Will AlloX FDV be above $200M one day after launch?

PM implied
12%$0.12/share
bid 10% / ask 13%
Current state
—
deferred
Volume
$0
24h $0
Closes in
450d
Sat, 01 Jan 2028 04:59:00 GMT

Distance to YES

—

This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.

Clarity

—

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

Subscribing to the live feed…

Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

—
Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…
Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

Loading holders…

How this resolves

Resolves YES if the token reaches $200,000,000 fully-diluted valuation after launch and before Jan 1, 2028.(Token not yet launched, or FDV fetcher pending wiring.)

Settles by
FDV @ T+24h
Resolution deadline
Sat, 01 Jan 2028 04:59:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…
Δ 1h0%
Δ 24h0%
Δ 7d0%
Δ 30d0%
Open on Polymarket id 5376980slug allox-fdv-above-200m-one-day-after-launch