PriceBinance BTC/USDT

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12?

PM implied

98%$0.97/share

bid 97% / ask 98%

Current state

$61,429

Volume

$6.8k

24h $6.8k

Closes in

Fri, 12 Jun 2026 16:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

triggered

Trigger line: $50,000 · right now: $61,429 · -22.86% to go

Clarity

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

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Recent trades

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Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Trade size distribution

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Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance BTC/USDT prints >= $50,000 at any point before Jun 12, 2026.

Settles by: Binance BTC/USDT
Resolution deadline: Fri, 12 Jun 2026 16:00:00 GMT
Oracle: UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above.Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

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Δ 1h▲ 9%

Δ 24h0pp

Δ 7d0pp

Δ 30d0pp

Open on Polymarket id 2445313slug bitcoin-above-50k-on-june-12-2026