Bitcoin above 64,800 on July 6, 4PM ET?

PM implied

<1%$0.00/share

bid <1% / ask <1%

Current state

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deferred

Volume

$115

24h $115

Closes in

ended

Mon, 06 Jul 2026 20:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

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This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.

Clarity

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How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

Subscribing to the live feed…

Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…

Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolution rule not yet structured. Deadline Jul 6, 2026.(Bespoke market; rules text on Polymarket.)

Settles by: —
Resolution deadline: Mon, 06 Jul 2026 20:00:00 GMT
Oracle: UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. Trading has closed; it's now in the resolution / arbitration window.Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…

Δ 1h▼ 2.6%

Δ 24h0pp

Δ 7d0pp

Δ 30d0pp

Open on Polymarket id 2820763slug bitcoin-above-64800-on-july-6-2026-4pm-et