PriceBinance BTC/USDT

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 22?

PM implied

1%$0.01/share

bid <1% / ask 2%

Current state

$64,800

Volume

$5.00

24h $5.00

Closes in

Wed, 22 Jul 2026 16:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

+12.4%

Trigger line: $74,000 · right now: $64,800 · 12.43% to go

Clarity

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

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Recent trades

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Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Trade size distribution

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Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance BTC/USDT prints >= $74,000 at any point before Jul 22, 2026.

Settles by: Binance BTC/USDT
Resolution deadline: Wed, 22 Jul 2026 16:00:00 GMT
Oracle: UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

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Δ 1h▼ 0.4%

Δ 24h0%

Δ 7d0%

Δ 30d0%

Open on Polymarket id 2935373slug bitcoin-above-74k-on-july-22-2026