Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Distance to YES
This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.
Clarity
How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.
Recent trades
waiting…No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.
Order bookoffline
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Order flow(last 5 min)
—Trade size distribution
watching for fills…Top holders
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How this resolves
Resolution rule not yet structured. Deadline Oct 5, 2026.(Bespoke market; rules text on Polymarket.)
- Settles by
- —
- Resolution deadline
- Mon, 05 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT
- Oracle
- UMA optimistic oracle
Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. Trading has closed; it's now in the resolution / arbitration window. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.