Ethereum above 1,820 on July 13, 4PM ET?

PM implied

3%$0.03/share

bid <1% / ask 5%

Current state

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deferred

Volume

$115

24h $115

Closes in

ended

Mon, 13 Jul 2026 20:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

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This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.

Clarity

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How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…

Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolution rule not yet structured. Deadline Jul 13, 2026.(Bespoke market; rules text on Polymarket.)

Settles by: —
Resolution deadline: Mon, 13 Jul 2026 20:00:00 GMT
Oracle: UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. Trading has closed; it's now in the resolution / arbitration window. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

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Open on Polymarket id 2910557slug ethereum-above-1820-on-july-13-2026-4pm-et