MarketPMSourceStateΔ to triggerRCDaysΔ24hVol 24h
Auspex0% fees, ever…
AuspexAuspexThis market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.
How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.
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Resolution rule not yet structured. Deadline Jul 15, 2026.(Bespoke market; rules text on Polymarket.)
Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. Trading has closed; it's now in the resolution / arbitration window. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.