Auspex
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PriceBinance ETH/USDT
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 8?

PM implied
98%$0.98/share
bid 98% / ask 99%
Current state
$2,573
Volume
$7.6k
24h $5.9k
Closes in
1d
Thu, 08 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

triggered

Trigger line: $2,400 · right now: $2,573 · -7.22% to go

Clarity

87

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

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No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Trade size distribution

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Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance ETH/USDT prints >= $2,400 at any point before Oct 8, 2026.

Settles by
Binance ETH/USDT
Resolution deadline
Thu, 08 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

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Δ 1h▼ 0.1%
Δ 24h▼ 1.1%
Δ 7d0%
Δ 30d0%

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Open on Polymarket id 5179225slug ethereum-above-2400-on-october-8-2026