Auspex
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PriceBinance ETH/USDT
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?

PM implied
83%$0.82/share
bid 80% / ask 85%
Current state
$2,573
Volume
$500
24h $500
Closes in
6d
Tue, 13 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

triggered

Trigger line: $2,500 · right now: $2,573 · -2.93% to go

Clarity

84

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

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No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Trade size distribution

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Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance ETH/USDT prints >= $2,500 at any point before Oct 13, 2026.

Settles by
Binance ETH/USDT
Resolution deadline
Tue, 13 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

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Δ 1h▲ 4%
Δ 24h0%
Δ 7d0%
Δ 30d0%

Related live markets

Open on Polymarket id 5377253slug ethereum-above-2500-on-october-13-2026