HoldingsPM team

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

PM implied

66%

bid 66% / ask 66%

Current state

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deferred

Volume

$3.2M

24h $166.9K

Closes in

42d

Wed, 01 Jul 2026 04:00:00 GMT

Δ to trigger

—

No live machine-readable trigger for this market.

Resolution Confidence (RC)

—

Composite of distance (55%), time pressure (30%) and log-volume (15%). Higher means a more legible resolution path.

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…

Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Order bookoffline

Subscribing to the live feed…

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Rule

Resolves YES if on-chain evidence confirms MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin on or before Jul 1, 2026.(On-chain/Arkham fetcher pending wiring.)

Implied probability

Loading 30D…

Δ 1h▲ 0.2pp

Δ 24h▲ 2pp

Δ 7d▼ 0.3pp

Δ 30d▲ 63pp

Open on Polymarket id 692258slug microstrategy-sells-any-bitcoin-by-june-30-2026

MarketPMSourceStateΔ to triggerRCDaysΔ24hVol 24h

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