Auspex
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SubjectivePM team
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Will AlloX launch a token by November 30, 2026?

PM implied
61%$0.60/share
bid 59% / ask 62%
Current state
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deferred
Volume
$401
24h $401
Closes in
54d
Tue, 01 Dec 2026 04:59:00 GMT

Distance to YES

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This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.

Clarity

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How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…
Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Subjective: Polymarket's UMA-arbitrated panel resolves this market on or before Dec 1, 2026. No machine-readable trigger.(Resolves by Polymarket-team consensus reading; no machine-readable Δ.)

Settles by
PM team
Resolution deadline
Tue, 01 Dec 2026 04:59:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…
Δ 1h▲ 14%
Δ 24h0%
Δ 7d0%
Δ 30d0%
Open on Polymarket id 5376940slug will-allox-launch-a-token-by-november-30-2026