Auspex
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UnmatchedSettling—
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Will Bitcoin dominance be greater than 61.00% on October 2?

PM implied
<1%$0.00/share
bid <1% / ask <1%
Current state
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deferred
Volume
$645
24h $0
Closes in
ended
Fri, 02 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

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This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.

Clarity

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How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…
Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolution rule not yet structured. Deadline Oct 2, 2026.(Bespoke market; rules text on Polymarket.)

Settles by
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Resolution deadline
Fri, 02 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. Trading has closed; it's now in the resolution / arbitration window. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…
Δ 1h0%
Δ 24h0%
Δ 7d▼ 48.9%
Δ 30d0%
Open on Polymarket id 4950463slug will-bitcoin-dominance-be-greater-than-61-on-october-2-2026