Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?
Distance to YES
Trigger line: $100,000 · right now: $83,462 · 16.54% to go
Clarity
How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.
Recent trades
waiting…No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.
Order bookoffline
Subscribing to the live feed…
Waiting for live book…
Order flow(last 5 min)
—Trade size distribution
watching for fills…Top holders
Loading holders…
How this resolves
Resolves YES if Binance BTC/USDT prints >= $100,000 at any point before Oct 1, 2027.
- Settles by
- Binance BTC/USDT
- Resolution deadline
- Fri, 01 Oct 2027 04:00:00 GMT
- Oracle
- UMA optimistic oracle
Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.
Implied probability
Related live markets
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 7?YES 96%
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?YES 1%4.4% to go
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 7?YES <1%6.5% to go
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?YES <1%8.5% to go
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?YES 2%34.6% to go