PriceBinance BTC/USDT

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

PM implied

bid 4% / ask 4%

Current state

76,749

Volume

$1.6M

24h $3K

Closes in

226d

Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT

Δ to trigger

+61.6%

Threshold 200,000 · current 76,749 · 61.63% away

Resolution Confidence (RC)

Composite of distance (55%), time pressure (30%) and log-volume (15%). Higher means a more legible resolution path.

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…

Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Order bookoffline

Subscribing to the live feed…

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Rule

Resolves YES if Binance BTC/USDT prints >= $200,000 at any point before Jan 1, 2027.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…

Δ 1h0pp

Δ 24h0pp

Δ 7d0pp

Δ 30d▼ 1.8pp

Open on Polymarket id 701486slug will-bitcoin-reach-200000-by-december-31-2026-752-232-389

MarketPMSourceStateΔ to triggerRCDaysΔ24hVol 24h

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