Auspex
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UnmatchedSettling—
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Will ETH/BTC reach 0.0350 September 28-October 4?

PM implied
50%$0.49/share
bid <1% / ask 99%
Current state
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deferred
Volume
$0
24h $0
Closes in
ended
Mon, 05 Oct 2026 04:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

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This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.

Clarity

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How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

Subscribing to the live feed…

Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…
Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolution rule not yet structured. Deadline Oct 5, 2026.(Bespoke market; rules text on Polymarket.)

Settles by
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Resolution deadline
Mon, 05 Oct 2026 04:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. Trading has closed; it's now in the resolution / arbitration window. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…
Δ 1h▲ 0.5%
Δ 24h▲ 0.5%
Δ 7d0%
Δ 30d0%
Open on Polymarket id 5062228slug will-ethbtc-reach-0pt0350-september-28-october-4-2026