Auspex
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PriceBinance ENA/USDT
Share on XShare on Farcaster

Will Ethena reach $0.32 in October?

PM implied
41%$0.41/share
bid <1% / ask 81%
Current state
$0.19
Volume
$119
24h $30.00
Closes in
21h
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 04:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

+39.5%

Trigger line: $0.32 · right now: $0.19 · 39.50% to go

Clarity

51

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…
Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance ENA/USDT prints >= $0.32 at any point before Nov 1, 2026.

Settles by
Binance ENA/USDT
Resolution deadline
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 04:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…
Δ 1h▼ 0.5%
Δ 24h▼ 2.0%
Δ 7d▲ 6%
Δ 30d▼ 8.0%

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