Auspex
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PriceBinance ETH/USDT
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Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11?

PM implied
<1%$0.01/share
bid <1% / ask <1%
Current state
$2,574
Volume
$11.2k
24h $11.2k
Closes in
4d
Mon, 12 Oct 2026 04:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

+28.7%

Trigger line: $2,000 · right now: $2,574 · 28.71% to go

Clarity

60

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

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No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Trade size distribution

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Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance ETH/USDT prints <= $2,000 at any point before Oct 12, 2026.

Settles by
Binance ETH/USDT
Resolution deadline
Mon, 12 Oct 2026 04:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

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Δ 1h0%
Δ 24h▲ 0.1%
Δ 7d0%
Δ 30d0%

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