Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?
Distance to YES
Trigger line: $4,000 · right now: $2,574 · 35.64% to go
Clarity
How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.
Recent trades
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How this resolves
Resolves YES if Binance ETH/USDT prints >= $4,000 at any point before Jan 1, 2028.
- Settles by
- Binance ETH/USDT
- Resolution deadline
- Sat, 01 Jan 2028 05:00:00 GMT
- Oracle
- UMA optimistic oracle
Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.