Auspex
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PriceBinance ETH/USDT
Share on XShare on Farcaster

Will Ethereum hit $6k by September 30, 2027?

PM implied
20%$0.20/share
bid 19% / ask 20%
Current state
$2,574
Volume
$1.9k
24h $0
Closes in
358d
Fri, 01 Oct 2027 04:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

+57.1%

Trigger line: $6,000 · right now: $2,574 · 57.10% to go

Clarity

27

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

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Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance ETH/USDT prints >= $6,000 at any point before Oct 1, 2027.

Settles by
Binance ETH/USDT
Resolution deadline
Fri, 01 Oct 2027 04:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

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Δ 1h0%
Δ 24h0%
Δ 7d0%
Δ 30d▲ 3%

Related live markets

Open on Polymarket id 3748392slug will-ethereum-hit-6k-by-september-30-2027