Will Ethos launch a token by October 15, 2026?
Distance to YES
This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.
Clarity
How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.
Recent trades
waiting…No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.
Order bookoffline
Subscribing to the live feed…
Waiting for live book…
Order flow(last 5 min)
—Trade size distribution
watching for fills…Top holders
Loading holders…
How this resolves
Subjective: Polymarket's UMA-arbitrated panel resolves this market on or before Oct 16, 2026. No machine-readable trigger.(Resolves by Polymarket-team consensus reading; no machine-readable Δ.)
- Settles by
- PM team
- Resolution deadline
- Fri, 16 Oct 2026 04:00:00 GMT
- Oracle
- UMA optimistic oracle
Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.