Auspex
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PriceBinance MEGA/USDT
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Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by December 31, 2027?

PM implied
56%$0.56/share
bid 28% / ask 84%
Current state
$0.04
Volume
$288
24h $0
Closes in
450d
Sat, 01 Jan 2028 05:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

+56.6%

Trigger line: $0.10 · right now: $0.04 · 56.65% to go

Clarity

24

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

Subscribing to the live feed…

Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…
Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance MEGA/USDT prints >= $0.10 at any point before Jan 1, 2028.

Settles by
Binance MEGA/USDT
Resolution deadline
Sat, 01 Jan 2028 05:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…
Δ 1h▼ 9.5%
Δ 24h▼ 9.5%
Δ 7d▼ 10.0%
Δ 30d▲ 7%

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Open on Polymarket id 3849944slug will-megaeth-hit-0pt10-by-december-31-2027