Auspex
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PriceBinance SOL/USDT
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Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?

PM implied
18%$0.17/share
bid 17% / ask 18%
Current state
$116.47
Volume
$8.3k
24h $11.11
Closes in
85d
Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

+45.6%

Trigger line: $80.00 · right now: $116.47 · 45.59% to go

Clarity

36

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Trade size distribution

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Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance SOL/USDT prints <= $80 at any point before Jan 1, 2027.

Settles by
Binance SOL/USDT
Resolution deadline
Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

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Δ 1h0%
Δ 24h▼ 1.5%
Δ 7d▼ 1.0%
Δ 30d▼ 20.5%

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