Auspex
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SubjectivePM team
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Will T-REX launch a token by December 31, 2027?

PM implied
51%$0.51/share
bid 15% / ask 86%
Current state
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deferred
Volume
$0
24h $0
Closes in
450d
Sat, 01 Jan 2028 04:59:00 GMT

Distance to YES

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This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.

Clarity

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How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

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No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

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Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Subjective: Polymarket's UMA-arbitrated panel resolves this market on or before Jan 1, 2028. No machine-readable trigger.(Resolves by Polymarket-team consensus reading; no machine-readable Δ.)

Settles by
PM team
Resolution deadline
Sat, 01 Jan 2028 04:59:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

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Open on Polymarket id 3567917slug will-t-rex-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2027