Auspex
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PriceBinance XRP/USDT
Share on XShare on Farcaster

Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?

PM implied
45%$0.45/share
bid 35% / ask 54%
Current state
$1.44
Volume
$2.0k
24h $0
Closes in
85d
Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

+20.3%

Trigger line: $1.20 · right now: $1.44 · 20.32% to go

Clarity

51

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…
Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance XRP/USDT prints <= $1 at any point before Jan 1, 2027.

Settles by
Binance XRP/USDT
Resolution deadline
Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…
Δ 1h0%
Δ 24h▲ 6%
Δ 7d▼ 8.0%
Δ 30d▼ 17.5%

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