Auspex
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PriceBinance XRP/USDT
Share on XShare on Farcaster

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 8?

PM implied
92%$0.92/share
bid 85% / ask >99%
Current state
$1.44
Volume
$66.85
24h $5.00
Closes in
1d
Thu, 08 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

triggered

Trigger line: $1.40 · right now: $1.44 · -3.13% to go

Clarity

84

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Trade size distribution

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Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance XRP/USDT prints >= $1 at any point before Oct 8, 2026.

Settles by
Binance XRP/USDT
Resolution deadline
Thu, 08 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…
Δ 1h▲ 2%
Δ 24h▼ 3.5%
Δ 7d0%
Δ 30d0%

Related live markets

Open on Polymarket id 5179318slug xrp-above-1pt4-on-october-8-2026