Auspex
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PriceBinance XRP/USDT
Share on XShare on Farcaster

Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on October 9?

PM implied
3%$0.03/share
bid <1% / ask 5%
Current state
$1.44
Volume
$1.3k
24h $0
Closes in
2d
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

+24.0%

Trigger line: $1.90 · right now: $1.44 · 24.01% to go

Clarity

63

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

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Depth chart · YES

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Order flow(last 5 min)

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Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

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Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

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How this resolves

Resolves YES if Binance XRP/USDT prints >= $2 at any point before Oct 9, 2026.

Settles by
Binance XRP/USDT
Resolution deadline
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 16:00:00 GMT
Oracle
UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above. Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…
Δ 1h▼ 0.9%
Δ 24h▲ 1%
Δ 7d0%
Δ 30d0%

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Open on Polymarket id 5207084slug xrp-above-1pt9-on-october-9-2026