XRP Up or Down - July 8, 9AM ET

PM implied

51%$0.51/share

bid 50% / ask 51%

Current state

—

deferred

Volume

24h $0

Closes in

Wed, 08 Jul 2026 14:00:00 GMT

Distance to YES

—

This market resolves manually (subjective call), so we can't auto-track how close it is.

Clarity

—

How clearly this market resolves. We mix three things: how close the live value is to triggering YES (55%), how soon the market closes (30%), and how much volume it's seen (15%). Higher = cleaner read.

Place a trade

Builder-attributed · 0% added fees

Recent trades

waiting…

No fills since you opened this page. Live activity will appear here as orders match.

Order bookoffline

Subscribing to the live feed…

Depth chart · YES

Waiting for live book…

Order flow(last 5 min)

—

Waiting for live fills…

Trade size distribution

watching for fills…

Live — distribution fills in as trades print.

Top holders

Loading holders…

How this resolves

Resolution rule not yet structured. Deadline Jul 8, 2026.(Bespoke market; rules text on Polymarket.)

Settles by: —
Resolution deadline: Wed, 08 Jul 2026 14:00:00 GMT
Oracle: UMA optimistic oracle

Outcomes are finalized by Polymarket via UMA's optimistic oracle: a proposed result can be challenged during a dispute window before it settles. It's still open for trading until the deadline above.Auspex doesn't control resolution — confirm the live oracle status on Polymarket.

Implied probability

Loading 30D…

Δ 1h0pp

Δ 24h0pp

Δ 7d0pp

Δ 30d0pp

Open on Polymarket id 2816863slug xrp-up-or-down-july-8-2026-9am-et